Wednesday, November 16, 2005

Indo-Nepal Relationship

Now Indo-Nepal relation is at a historic low. The royal takeover of all executive power in nepal without the indian consent has antagonised india more than the nepalese public. india is more concerned of Chinese involvement than the king and has applied every possible diplomatic pressure to the king but it has failed to do any major change. India has to well analyse whether the royal failure will be beneficial to India, Nepal and the World.
More than sixty percent of rural areas is under Maoist control now and in case of royal failure, Nepal is sure to become a Communist Republic. Till now the maoist top class are seen as good leaders and has hope that they will do much for the nation once they come in power. But in the world hardly any revolutionary group has ruled successfully because one person can do only one work to its best. It is more likely that even the Maoist may turn to the same class as their democratic counterparts. In the capitalist world even if maoist work positively the result wont be as good as expected. Socialist Nepal be no better then battered Nepal for India. If for the reason India tried to put democratic government then Nepal will be a bigger disaster for India then Iraq for US as the democratic parties have lost their ground in Nepal. The moves of the UPA government taken till now were the responsibility of a good neighbor having very close cultural ties but future moves must be taken with more analysis and care. Nepal has always been a close ally of India nad till now almost every government there has tried to fulfill the Indian govt interest while this govt. has choosec the other way becoming close to China. The step has to be throughly analysed, especially the motive behind choosing China. In the condition when the maoist has called for direct talks with the king, the royal takeover is logical step. Indian efforts to defame the king may not only hurt the monarch but may end the century long Indo-Nepal friendship. India may thus end up losing a close ally and a neighboring market.
There are many issues that Indians have to study deeply than blaming the Nepalese govt. and teh masses. Some Indian govt. officials often critisize Nepal of harboring ISI agents which is in sharp contrast to the Nepalese govt. commitment. There may be some loop holes in implementation but these issues must be taken to the table not to the press. No public wants to see an outsider critisizing their country or their govt. no matter how worse it is governed. There are may weaknesses of the Indian side that has hurt the nepalese sentiments thus increasing anti-indianism in Nepal, and it is blunder made by Indian authorities to blame ISI for this. Here are some wweaknesses that I have seen:
1). It is always good to support a system than indicidual but India has always favoured G.P.Koirala and his party.
2). Almost all the scholarship seats provided to Nepal through Indian Embassy are filled by unfair means. The politicians and the bureaucratic heads send their children or relatives in these seats. For these general Nepali public believes that Indians are trying to puppetize the Nepali govt. by offering such private privilazes to the ruling class.
3). India has never been serious in solving Bhutanese Refugee problem. It were the Indians to take Bhutanese to Nepal (Indians not only provided free transit but also supported with free vehicles) and now India remarks it as a bilateral probelm between Bhutan and Nepal. Indians were the main hurdle in the peaceful refugee march. It is well known fact that active Indian involvement is necessary to solve this problem but India is seperating itself. The motive is not understood.
4). Indians are never serious in solving border issues with Nepal.
5). The trade agreements are violated by the Indian side frequently in a condition when the Indian goods are enjoying the highest privilage for free movement into Nepal.
6). Indian government interfairs very often in internal matters which is against the sentiment of the sovereign public.

These are some of the weaknesses that indian side has in their relation with Nepal and now its time to work to eliminate them. There is no struggle now for the search of producers but the real struggle is for markets. If India doesnot help, Nepal will get help from US, China, EU or Japan. Successful engagement of Nepal crises is a real challenge for the indian govt. India has to overcome this without much damage to become a regional power. The best way to solve this problem is to adopt non-interference strictly and go for immediate solution of all bilateral and regional issues. Indian Embassy is seen in Nepal as center of corruption along with the Pakistani Embassy and reformation in bilateral ties must start from there.

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