Monday, November 21, 2005

Indian stand in Iran Nuclear Issue.

The message is clear Manmohan Singh govt is a weak govt which could not take on the US pressure and end up voting against Iran. The countries like Pakistan and Isreal are more prone to use the Nuclear weapon than Iran and Pakistan is more active in producing and financing terrorist activities across the world, says the same western analysts. The countries like North Korea and Iran has never been aggressive against any country. Their history is as clear as that of Indians, and most importantly Iran is a Shia country where the terrorism across the world is headed by the sunni segments. The sunni segments also has the cause for their fight due to the Palestine cause, and now the attack on Iraq.

The message is clear to the world that India is getting away from its neutral foreigh policy towards the US alliance. It is same like India breaking the G20 alliance for its benefit in WTO fight. Last some years has been very active in achiving its national interest but its loosing its key friends. Like Brazil, South Africa, Malaysia and others of the NAM moment in WTO. Now it has lost Iran. The US alliance may be dangerous for India in future being second Isreal in the world map surrounded by the enemies. China, Russia, Malaysia, Cuba,Venezuela etc could resist the US pressure but India could not inspite of the history of being neutral for always. India was one of the most respected country in the NAM moment and despite its internal corrupt politics India has one of the most rebust foreign policy, but now India has lost it.

The vote against Iran and the speech related to the vote saying "India voted to get some more time for Iran. We know that Iran is committed to the IAEA and we respect its rights for the Nuclear Technology for energy." This was the saying of the India's Foreign minister after voting in favour of referendum referring Iran to the Security council. The left parties are right this time but noone listens to them. May India come back and not lose Iran for always.

1. India has forgotton the history of all those cases where US supproted the country in many ways in the begenning and after turned towards it. Iraq is an simple example.

2. Iran is a country which had once voiced that in case of Indo-Pak war it would take the Indian side.

3. Iran is dominantly a shia country and India has a huge shia population. Going against Iran may be seen as going against them.

4. India will have huge energy deficit by 2010 and Iran-Pak-India gas pipeline can solve it significantly but Iran may get off the project. Iran has other huge market at his disposal, China. This will take China upper than India.

5. US congress has a series of test before India gets full benefit of all the Nuclear deals and following all may not be possible, and unable of fulfilling one may end up India getting nothing.

6. India will need the support of many NAM countries if it wants to get into UNSC as permanent member. The Iran issue may decrease the vote for India. US till now has not supported and is the only country in the G5 not supporting India's candidature which shows how serious is the US.

7. The cost of seperating military and civilian Nuclear is huge according to some experts and before this done US will not go for full cooperation in the Nuclear Suppliers group. The full benefit from Nuclear Deal is a distant dream for India.

8. Pakistan being the China's closest ally has been named as the US Non-Nato ally, where is India near that. India has lost even the confidence of its traditional allys Russia, Brazil, South Africa and Iran.

India needs to look all these issues and can play a game. While Manmohan govt has the support of left parties it could use it as its strength to get the help withuot much damage to the national integrity and neutral international policy. But rather it has always seen left parties as the weakness and i think now the time has come for the left parties to get Manmohan down. so that the forthcoming govt can rectify the steps.

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