Indian stand in Iran Nuclear Issue.(III)

US has already chooses India to make a strong line US-Isreal-India-Japan line to control the whole world. It may benefit India in many terms but the path wont be so simple that it looks. When India is below a trillion $ country US may want India to develop but getting countries closer as enemies will have a ever-lasting influence. Look Cuba for US. India now has an option of choosing US-Japan alliance or Chino-Russian alliance. Chino-Russian alliance seems to fit the indian interest much more than the US-Japan alliance as Russia is more clsoer to India then to China. China being the strongest of the three, will lead but Indo-Russian interest will always be taken care of. But the US-Japan alliance is a bit risky one. They can drop India at any point they like as the importance of India to them is minimal. The most important thing is in case of any forthcoming clash India will be the biggest loser as US is far and whatever happens most happens to India. But if the Russia-China-India forms a strong coalition then it will directly become a second pole in the world making the world multipolar. Any clash taking place will not damage India much as Pakistan and other US allies in these regions are more loyal to China, which is seen by latest actions.
The race starts from Iran. Because after Iran issue US will make India do manyn other things in its favor for the nuclear deal to pass from the congress. Then India will reach much farther and coming back may not be possible. Saddham once took the US side and end up in the mess taking whole into a battlefield. AlSo, with the second largest muslim population India going against Iran may not help India in any way, but may lead to internal problems as well.

The sugesstion not to bring Indian muslim in the debate is ruthless. Its always the interest of the peeple that a country considers while making any change in foreign policy. Like US support for Isreal. India has paid heavily in supporting Sri Lankan govt against LTTE despite having huge Tamil population. UK and Spain has paid for their support of Iraq war.

So this step must be taken carefully because the future steps must go along with it. In retrieving back neither of two sides will be gained. And going forward may be very difficult for a diversified country like India. The best way is to abstain like Rissia, China and Pakistan did if India doesnot like to upset US. Supporting the referendum is just the poor governance.

Indian stand in Iran Nuclear Issue.(II)

India must support Iran to defend its own position in the world scenerio.
1. Unlike Taliban, the present govt of Iran is a elected one. It has broad public support, and is committed to democratic rule . When Isreal talkes freely considering attack on the Iranian Nuclear sites like it did in the Iraq, then its normal for the Iran to comment on the destruction of Isreal. When Musharaf said of using all the weapons including nuclear if the kargil war goes to the full fledge war, I remember Indian defence chief talking of the destruction of Pakistan within a week of the first use of its nuclear missile.

2. India and its neighbors, Bhutan, Nepal and Bangladesh are very rich in water resources as well. This can be used as the ultimate cource of electricity, but the petro fuel necessity if always there, and its increasing. US congress has not passed the bill yet and is testing the indians.

3. I ran has never gone against the Indian candidature as well, while US has.

4. Iran has been a good indian ally both as a liable trade partner and an ally in international trade negotiations. The interest of the two countries match while the needs and the interest of US adn India do not match. The alliance may not move smoothly ahead.

5. There is deal between a lion and a goat. We should always focus on the deal and partnerchip with the equal partners where the pressure is minimum and can act on the sole aim of national interest. The US is the hyperpower of the world and miving with it is not going to be easy.

6. US is considering the possibility of using India against the China-Russia alliance. This will be dangerous for India. When the world is expecting that by 2040 the world will have different world top ten economies .... India, Brazil, Russia, China climbing and also there is possibility for Pakistan, South Africa, South Korea ..etc climbing to the spots after the top ten replacing the traditional power economies. This has to taken in mind. If Iran withstands the present pressures and escapes it will itself turn making into the big league.
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7. The Iran's contribution is same what the countries like Nepal, Bhutan, Bangladesh, Sri Lanka is doing for India and its consuming. Iran is a huge market for Indian companies and India is enjoying a trade surplus with Iran.

8. Why US always supports Isreal?? Its simply because it has huge jew population man. The isreal lobby there is strong and it may turn the political scenerio else. It not the matter of taking anyone's side, it about why hurting someone. India believes that Iran has to be within the IAEA and should work there and it must not be referred to UNSC, then why vote against Iran. Everyone knows that the power politics is playing the final role and Iran has not done any wrong. As a sovereign nation it has its right to have nuclear power, but west believes that it is aimed towwards them. This is ruthless.

9. yeh india and other NAM countries were the USSR allies. India even helped russia with food supplies at the time of Cold war. The reason was the return for the help in the survival of India. When US once was considering invasion of India it was Russia who sent one of its 3 nuclear submarine to India. This makes India and Russia the only countries sharing the nuclear weapon. India is now a potential ally of Russia and believes in Russia that Russia has gained in many years of support. Iran may have some for the Indians but its loosing that. Many weaker countries are watching India closely and if India goes against Iran it will loose the confidence of thoese countries as well.

10. Iran is one of the most responsible country in the world as is India, Brazil, South Africa, having clean history. The focus of India and Iran is both in economy and defence but the other two sole focus is on economy. Iran is much like India and India needs to support it to support its own cause. India must work hard to ensure its peaceful rise as is China doing, and develop neither like Isreal nor like Japan or Germany, but rather like US itself. A completely peaceful rise.

Indian stand in Iran Nuclear Issue.

The message is clear Manmohan Singh govt is a weak govt which could not take on the US pressure and end up voting against Iran. The countries like Pakistan and Isreal are more prone to use the Nuclear weapon than Iran and Pakistan is more active in producing and financing terrorist activities across the world, says the same western analysts. The countries like North Korea and Iran has never been aggressive against any country. Their history is as clear as that of Indians, and most importantly Iran is a Shia country where the terrorism across the world is headed by the sunni segments. The sunni segments also has the cause for their fight due to the Palestine cause, and now the attack on Iraq.

The message is clear to the world that India is getting away from its neutral foreigh policy towards the US alliance. It is same like India breaking the G20 alliance for its benefit in WTO fight. Last some years has been very active in achiving its national interest but its loosing its key friends. Like Brazil, South Africa, Malaysia and others of the NAM moment in WTO. Now it has lost Iran. The US alliance may be dangerous for India in future being second Isreal in the world map surrounded by the enemies. China, Russia, Malaysia, Cuba,Venezuela etc could resist the US pressure but India could not inspite of the history of being neutral for always. India was one of the most respected country in the NAM moment and despite its internal corrupt politics India has one of the most rebust foreign policy, but now India has lost it.

The vote against Iran and the speech related to the vote saying "India voted to get some more time for Iran. We know that Iran is committed to the IAEA and we respect its rights for the Nuclear Technology for energy." This was the saying of the India's Foreign minister after voting in favour of referendum referring Iran to the Security council. The left parties are right this time but noone listens to them. May India come back and not lose Iran for always.

1. India has forgotton the history of all those cases where US supproted the country in many ways in the begenning and after turned towards it. Iraq is an simple example.

2. Iran is a country which had once voiced that in case of Indo-Pak war it would take the Indian side.

3. Iran is dominantly a shia country and India has a huge shia population. Going against Iran may be seen as going against them.

4. India will have huge energy deficit by 2010 and Iran-Pak-India gas pipeline can solve it significantly but Iran may get off the project. Iran has other huge market at his disposal, China. This will take China upper than India.

5. US congress has a series of test before India gets full benefit of all the Nuclear deals and following all may not be possible, and unable of fulfilling one may end up India getting nothing.

6. India will need the support of many NAM countries if it wants to get into UNSC as permanent member. The Iran issue may decrease the vote for India. US till now has not supported and is the only country in the G5 not supporting India's candidature which shows how serious is the US.

7. The cost of seperating military and civilian Nuclear is huge according to some experts and before this done US will not go for full cooperation in the Nuclear Suppliers group. The full benefit from Nuclear Deal is a distant dream for India.

8. Pakistan being the China's closest ally has been named as the US Non-Nato ally, where is India near that. India has lost even the confidence of its traditional allys Russia, Brazil, South Africa and Iran.

India needs to look all these issues and can play a game. While Manmohan govt has the support of left parties it could use it as its strength to get the help withuot much damage to the national integrity and neutral international policy. But rather it has always seen left parties as the weakness and i think now the time has come for the left parties to get Manmohan down. so that the forthcoming govt can rectify the steps.

China-SAARC FTA

There is no fixed rule to be culturally, economically and politically similar to form a Regional Economic Cooperation.After second world war the allied countries started pushing their products wherever they could. The other countries then reciprocated by applying import tariff and quotas. Then the developed/powerful countries went forward applying pressures to the developing ones, sometimes military threats and sometimes the reform agendas of the world bank and the IMF. To fight these the countries with similar problems came together forming economic blocks to increase their bargaining power. As the countries who were geographically near could easily form such blocks so then came the formation of ASEAN, SAARC, ECO, SAU, AU etc. This is nothing to do with culturally similar or different but then while at bargain the block used the term culturally similar. The functioning just needs understanding and motive.

As far as Afganistan is concerned, it is one of the best dicision that SAARC has taken till date to include this country. And I welcome China and Japan also in the group. The observer status given to them is extremely good, but the way they are given is not satisfactory. NEpal putting a condition of the observer status to China for membership to Afganistan, and India not willing to bring in china was not good. Anyway there are some differences and the only thing that matters is the outcome. Welcome Afganistan, China nd Japan.

I think we are more concerned to textiles then is necessary. Nepal had free trade with india 2001. After that Nepal has lost many industries including textiles, all companies are closed, but consumer items, electronics goods, banaspati ghee, cigarette, liquor, tourism, food products etc industries have achieved good progress in return to the textiles and automobiles industry. The sectors in which nepal gained are also not more competitive then Indian counterparts but competition shows the path for excellence and survival, and this ultimately brings competitiveness. The trade balance is becoming less -ve for the nepalese after FTA.

The same was there at SriLanka-India FTA, Thai-China FTA, Japan-US FTA etc. The weaker too that gains in FTA but we have a habbit of comparing with the other counterparts, which hurt us. In all these FTAs the most competitive gained more but not at the cost of the other player but both gain while the trade with external world diminishes.

No cry friends, India will survive when we have China in SAARC and SAFTA, once survived after initial loss, India will start gaining. thus India and China will lessen their trade dependency with the West and then inclusion of Iran may be the next step for us to go.

"FOCUS ON STRENGTHS NOT LINGER ON WEAKNESSES."

This is main point which we need to take in mind. The wins will follow.

Let Chinese gain, but we must also gain. And we wont lose competiting with majority govt. funded and cultured inefficient Chinese companies. Cheap goods are the not the only goods that are sold in markets. If they can make cheaper then us, then we are lucky to get cheaper goods to consume while our labor is available to do some other more productive works. Our inflation rate will come down. For unemployment we need not worry once we have China-SAARC FTA majority of investments in the world will come to this locality and no investor can keep himself away from us.

Lets go for it.

Indo-Nepal Relationship

Now Indo-Nepal relation is at a historic low. The royal takeover of all executive power in nepal without the indian consent has antagonised india more than the nepalese public. india is more concerned of Chinese involvement than the king and has applied every possible diplomatic pressure to the king but it has failed to do any major change. India has to well analyse whether the royal failure will be beneficial to India, Nepal and the World.
More than sixty percent of rural areas is under Maoist control now and in case of royal failure, Nepal is sure to become a Communist Republic. Till now the maoist top class are seen as good leaders and has hope that they will do much for the nation once they come in power. But in the world hardly any revolutionary group has ruled successfully because one person can do only one work to its best. It is more likely that even the Maoist may turn to the same class as their democratic counterparts. In the capitalist world even if maoist work positively the result wont be as good as expected. Socialist Nepal be no better then battered Nepal for India. If for the reason India tried to put democratic government then Nepal will be a bigger disaster for India then Iraq for US as the democratic parties have lost their ground in Nepal. The moves of the UPA government taken till now were the responsibility of a good neighbor having very close cultural ties but future moves must be taken with more analysis and care. Nepal has always been a close ally of India nad till now almost every government there has tried to fulfill the Indian govt interest while this govt. has choosec the other way becoming close to China. The step has to be throughly analysed, especially the motive behind choosing China. In the condition when the maoist has called for direct talks with the king, the royal takeover is logical step. Indian efforts to defame the king may not only hurt the monarch but may end the century long Indo-Nepal friendship. India may thus end up losing a close ally and a neighboring market.
There are many issues that Indians have to study deeply than blaming the Nepalese govt. and teh masses. Some Indian govt. officials often critisize Nepal of harboring ISI agents which is in sharp contrast to the Nepalese govt. commitment. There may be some loop holes in implementation but these issues must be taken to the table not to the press. No public wants to see an outsider critisizing their country or their govt. no matter how worse it is governed. There are may weaknesses of the Indian side that has hurt the nepalese sentiments thus increasing anti-indianism in Nepal, and it is blunder made by Indian authorities to blame ISI for this. Here are some wweaknesses that I have seen:
1). It is always good to support a system than indicidual but India has always favoured G.P.Koirala and his party.
2). Almost all the scholarship seats provided to Nepal through Indian Embassy are filled by unfair means. The politicians and the bureaucratic heads send their children or relatives in these seats. For these general Nepali public believes that Indians are trying to puppetize the Nepali govt. by offering such private privilazes to the ruling class.
3). India has never been serious in solving Bhutanese Refugee problem. It were the Indians to take Bhutanese to Nepal (Indians not only provided free transit but also supported with free vehicles) and now India remarks it as a bilateral probelm between Bhutan and Nepal. Indians were the main hurdle in the peaceful refugee march. It is well known fact that active Indian involvement is necessary to solve this problem but India is seperating itself. The motive is not understood.
4). Indians are never serious in solving border issues with Nepal.
5). The trade agreements are violated by the Indian side frequently in a condition when the Indian goods are enjoying the highest privilage for free movement into Nepal.
6). Indian government interfairs very often in internal matters which is against the sentiment of the sovereign public.

These are some of the weaknesses that indian side has in their relation with Nepal and now its time to work to eliminate them. There is no struggle now for the search of producers but the real struggle is for markets. If India doesnot help, Nepal will get help from US, China, EU or Japan. Successful engagement of Nepal crises is a real challenge for the indian govt. India has to overcome this without much damage to become a regional power. The best way to solve this problem is to adopt non-interference strictly and go for immediate solution of all bilateral and regional issues. Indian Embassy is seen in Nepal as center of corruption along with the Pakistani Embassy and reformation in bilateral ties must start from there.

Investment in Nepal

Nepal is a country between india and china, the fastest growing economies of the world. It is having free trade with india and is planning to have same with china also. Along with these oppertunities Nepal has a large pool of qualified engineers and technicians along with good numbers of management graduates ready to work for fairly low cost.
Nepal is the second richest country in terms of water resources and it has eight out of ten highest mountain peaks in the world. Nepal is the birth place of Gautam Buddha. These facts shows the tourist destination potential of Nepal. Nepal has many large and small deposits of different minerals. The market is available in the form of china and india also the internal market is not small as nepal has a population of about 25 million.
Nepal government has now set the prime goal of developing Nepal as a transit between India and China. For that a commitee is formed to study all necessary ways in which Nepal can benefit. By this Nepal will not only be gaining revenue in terms of transit fees for the movement of goods between india and chinese but also improving ground for the tourism development where it have the highest potential. Nepal can also go for building large hydroelectric projects which will not only solve the energy crises in the country but also gain huge revenue by selling power to India where by 2010 the energy crises is going to be very high.
Nepal inspite of internal violence is having a GDP growth rate of about 3.5 percent which is an optimistic statistics. Any Individual or Company must try to get the full benefit by investing in nepal now when the market is not very competitive and get use to with the business model of producing in nepal for the combined markets of India and China.

Welcome Afganistan, China and Japan.

Yesterday when i read the news of the inclusion of Afganistan as a member of SAARC and China and Japan getting observer status, i observed a change of mentality in the South-Asian governments. The poor group countries were the masters of finding excuses for not developing their state. They have never taken any remarkable step till date nor have solved any specific problem like Bhutanese Refugee problem, Kashir Issue, border issue between India and Bangladesh, India and Pakistan, India and Nepal etc. The first good step was the implementation of SAPTA long back in 1995 which is also not applied whole heartedly and it had lots of problems in implementing it. A good spirit was shown by moving forward with SAFTA first in 1998 and then in 2004. SAFTA will start its effect from 2006 while for the full implementaion we have to wait till 2016.
The percentage of intra-regional trade out of total trade remains below 10% even now while in progressive like EU, Asean and NAFTA are about 50%. The main problem seems to be rivalry between India and Pakistan but i have found an intellectual claiming that almost all the progressive steps are not free from the Bangladeshi complaint.
Today i feel that now we are more aware of the world status and are thinking more positively. This clearly is a good sign and it shows our confidence. May this movement take us much ahead. I welcome Afganistan, China and Japan in our group. Lets have a Pan-Asian unity with the merger of Asean and SAARC. The only way to have united and progressive world is to have integrated world. Lets move forward.

Thank you Shree Panch Gyanendra.

Nepal govt. has taken steps to develop nepal as a transit between India and Nepal which is similar to what Switzerland had done long back becoming transit between France and Germany. Nepal now has a direction and a vision for economic development.

From Prithvi Narayan Shah to Sher Bahadur all has political visions, but all lacked economic vision for the country. This is what our country always lacked.

Nepal has also forwarded a proposal for the entry of China in SAARC as an observer adn it has been granted. Now our economy is going to be multilateral from the traditional unilateral (india oriented) one.

Gyanendra starts a new era for Nepalis ..... I whole heartedly support Our king.

Good luck Shree Panch Gyanendra and good luck to we all nepalis.

A Secular Life

I from my childhood has been visiting Monastries of many places. I am a born hindu and am sure that never change my religion at any case and will ultimately die as hindu. But i like to visit Gurduara, Masjid and Church to know the diversity in the religious faith of people. I have been to those places several times and now i have almost same faith in any of these religious structures that i always have for the temples. Our religion is a part of our culture and the world is beautiful only if there is sufficient diversity in us, we need to harbor own culture and tradition and let other have the taste of our life. In return we can enjoy theirs. I am very proud of my country's secularism under the name of Hindu Nation. Nepal is most probably the only non-secular state in the world that has been giving national holidays in the main festivals of all religions .... Id, Losar, Christmas and dushera ... all are national holidays. It is also a matter of pride that there has never been any disputes in Nepal in the ground of religion and people of every religion enjoys full rights not only in constitution but also in the secular hindu public mass.

I wondered before reading about the clashes going on in some parts of the world in the ground of religion. I cant imagine how a person can harm or kill other person just by knowing that he is not of his religion. If a person harms one's interest, how stupid the person might be who analysed to think that the person's religion is the reason behind his getting hurt.

I believe all the people in the world are good. It only matters how he is treated by the environment and how he analyses the treatment. Its the matter of intelligence and ignorance. The most intelligent person can be seen as a most foolish person if the topic of discussion goes out of his knowledge sphere. This is well understood by the so called intellectuals and i am sure that the successful politicians. having public base, are intellectuals. But how can these people lead the public mass in wrong way or how a group of people having some vested interest in the religious clashes be able to rouse the general public to kill his own neighbor.

I always think this and try to annalyse but have found always difficult to find the root. A article i had read at class 12 ..... Individuals and Masses ...... had a good picture how a good and decent individual become an animal while at mass. When individual thinks then the brain think when the mass think then the brain stops, its the environment that thinks. This i have always found true. The public gathering at the place where there is so much dirt and wastes near by or the poor peeple, and their poverty sticken life have made our environment so poluted that whenever the environment thinks it thinks wrong. May be we need to use our brain and get away from groups and brain cant go wrong.

Now there is a civilisation war going all around the world, especially between the Jews and Christian versus the Islam. May the people use their brain and think logically. Even the groups of highly secular democratic countries have decided ruthlessly like the attack on Iraq decision, dont know what environment had been discussing at, the pollution may be at the negative thoughts then the surrounding like ours. May all those bodies be unified as an individual and may people believe in humanity rather then Islam or chistianity. May peace prevail the Earth.